Job title: Senior Strategic Analysis Manager
Salary: Circa £97,000 + TFL Benefits
Grade: Band 4
Contract type: Strategic Analysis
Reference: 5408
Number of roles: 1 x Full Time Contract details: Permanent, Hybrid
Location: Palestra, Southwark Application closing date: Monday 7th September
All offers of employment are subject to satisfactory right‑to‑work checks, and candidates must be able to demonstrate their legal right to work in the UK. In certain circumstances, TfL may be able to sponsor Skilled Worker visas for roles and individuals that meet the required eligibility criteria, including those covered by transitional rules. Further details can be found here:Our response to visa sponsorship changes.
About us:
Strategic Analysis is at the heart of the Strategy Directorate, providing the evaluation and evidence that underpins TfL’s strategy, policy and project development work. With over 40 analysts, the department leads on the development and use of TfL’s suite of strategic transport models, conducts the London Travel Demand Survey, produces the annual Travel in London report and leads the production of transport analysis studies for major transport schemes, large scale developments and Opportunity Areas. We include specialists in scenario planning, strategic modelling, analysis, GIS and air quality amongst other disciplines. Examples of our work can be found at Travel in London reports - Transport for London. More information about our strategic models at Strategic transport models - Transport for London.
About the role :
An opportunity has arisen for a permanent role of Senior Strategic Analysis Manager, leading the Demand Forecasting team.
This role leads on the development and application of TfL's strategic demand forecasting capability, providing the evidence base for key policy, investment and business decisions across London.
As the technical authority for TfL’s Strategic Analysis modelling suite, this role oversees the development and application of three major modelling tools:
MoTiON, TfL's strategic demand forecasting model
AB-MoTiON, our industry-leading activity-based modelling framework
LonLUTI, TfL's integrated Land Use and Transport Interaction model
You will shape and deliver the strategic vision for the development and integration of the modelling suite, ensuring it remains fit for purpose, oversee model governance and assurance, and lead the transition to the next generation of forecasting approaches ensuring TfL remain at the forefront of industry best practice.
The team uses modelling and analysis to anticipate future challenges and opportunities, provide robust evidence and people-centric insights to support decision-making across the organisation. The role is varied and involves long-term
demand forecasting, informing business strategy, long-term planning and investment decisions, land use analysis, and the assessment of emerging technologies, trends and future travel behaviours.
You will work closely with teams across TfL, engaging with major policy, planning and investment programmes and ensuring that strategic forecasting and analysis are embedded within TfL’s decision-making. You will also build and maintain strong relationships with senior stakeholders across the GLA, DfT, London boroughs, academia and industry. Through this work, you will help shape TfL's understanding of how London may evolve and the implications for transport and customers.
The purpose of the role is:
To inspire and develop a team of technical experts to investigate and forecast the impacts of policies, schemes, population and employment growth, economic change and emerging trends using advanced modelling, analytical methods, data science, research and scenario planning techniques.
To provide the Strategy Senior Leadership Team, TfL's Executive Committee, the Deputy Mayor for Transport and relevant TfL Directors with critical business information on current travel trends and progress towards the Mayor's Transport Strategy and London Plan.
To provide future travel demand forecasts and strategic modelling evidence that informs key business decisions on TfL's strategic direction, investment programme and the business case for major projects, while directing the development, integration and transition of the Strategic Analysis modelling suite in line with the Model Vision.
About you:
You will be recognised as a leader in strategic transport modelling and industry best practice, with a track record of using four-stage and / or activity based modelling methods combined with other analytical evidence to shape policy, develop business cases for major investments and inform strategic decision-making . You will be able to ensure our outputs are robust, high quality, and stand up to scrutiny. As well as your excellent technical skills, you’ll need to have the ability to develop, motivate and manage a team of around 10 technical experts as well as lead projects with a matrix set up. You will contribute technical and thought leadership to the wider Strategic Analysis department and commission and manage projects from external providers.
You’ll need to be a strong communicator, able to explain complex technical outputs to non-specialists and work with them to convert their needs into analytical programmes. We need someone who can present findings clearly and with a focus on insightful and impactful outcomes.
You will contribute to a well established senior management team who work together to solve technical challenges and will build strong relationships with peers in analytical, policy, strategy and delivery teams as well as the wider industry.
We welcome innovative approaches to match our ambitious agenda. The role isn’t about churning out the same old outputs, but about stretching our capability and asking questions.
Knowledge, Skills & Experience -
Knowledge:
• Degree in a relevant discipline or a proven equivalent level of experience
• Excellent knowledge of traffic and transport survey techniques & data required to support models.
• Excellent understanding of travel behaviour research methods and techniques, including knowledge of statistical methods and relevant software.
• Excellent knowledge of monitoring techniques and of the appraisal and evaluation process.
• Excellent understanding of complex strategic transport modelling methods & software
• Good understanding of project management processes and procurement
• In depth understanding of current traffic and transport policies and issues within London.
• Excellent knowledge of the influences on travel behaviour, and of transport, health and environmental challenges.
• Understanding of the workings of large organisations and the public policy making process.
• A good understanding of best practice approaches to transport strategy development
Skills:
• Excellent analytical skills, with specialist skills in relevant technical areas e.g. statistics, stated preference, demand forecasting, highway modelling
• Excellent communication skills, with the ability to communicate technical information in everyday language (expert)
• Transport modelling principles, processes and application (expert)
• Modelling and Analysis tools (expert)
• Transport analysis fundamentals and their application (expert)
• Collecting, analysing, interpreting and reporting transport survey data (expert)
• The relationship between data and its intended application (expert)
• The principal sources of transport statistics and data (expert)
Experience:
• Experience of leading large scale and complex analytical / modelling studies involving multiple stakeholders to inform policy, strategy and scheme development.
• Experience of the public policy process and of working in a political environment.
• Ability to deliver complex work programmes to required standards, budgets and timescales.
• Experience of contract management to deliver complex research and analytical projects.
• Experience of staff management and supervising teams in a matrix format, developing & inspiring the team.
• Experience of representing an organisation externally to stakeholders up to at least director level.
• Ability to communicate with and brief senior management and political leaders.
Application Process:
- Please apply with your CV and a one page cover letter
- Think carefully about the “about you” section of the advert
- PDF format preferred and do not include any photographs or images
- We may close this advert early if we receive a high volume of suitable applications.
We will make every effort to give you as much notice as possible, however some interviews/assessments could be organised at short notice.
Equality, diversity and inclusion:
We are committed to equality, diversity and inclusion and aim to reflect the diverse communities we serve. We believe that a diverse workforce enables us to deliver better services and outcomes. Our goal is to make our recruitment as inclusive as possible. As a Disability Confident Leader, we actively encourage applications from disabled people. As part of the Disability Confident scheme, we aim to offer an assessment or interview to candidates who apply via the scheme where the minimum essential criteria for skills, knowledge and experience has been met. In some circumstances, it may not be practical to offer an interview or assessment to every candidate who applies through the scheme and meet the minimum essential criteria; in these situations, we select candidates who best meet the minimum criteria for the job rather than interviewing all who meet them.
Across all recruitment activity, we recognise that selection methods may vary depending on the nature and scale of the campaign and will be applied fairly, consistently and proportionately in line with our Disability Confident commitments.
Benefits:
In return for your commitment and expertise, you will enjoy excellent benefits and scope to grow. Rewards vary according to the level of role but mostly include the below:
Final salary pension scheme
Free travel for you on the TfL network
Reimbursement of 75% of the cost of a standard class Ticket for National Rail travel from home
30 days annual leave plus public and bank holidays
TfL is committed to work-life balance, operating a hybrid working approach where business and role requirements allow
Private healthcare discounted scheme (optional) (Delete if not applicable – LU spot grades/Q grades)
Tax-efficient cycle-to-work programme
Retail, health, leisure and travel offers
Discounted Eurostar travel
We will make every effort to give you as much notice as possible, however some interviews/assessments could be organised at short notice.
Hybrid working within this role enables a balance of 50 per cent of time split between the office and home over a 4 week period. Hybrid working arrangements can evolve subject to business requirements.
Vetting Process:
At Transport for London, safety, trust and fairness sit at the heart of how we recruit. Our Vetting Charter (https://tfl.gov.uk/corporate/careers/our-vetting-process) explains the checks we carry out before you join us, helping ensure we create a safe, inclusive and reliable network for everyone who depends on our services. We simply ask that the information you provide is honest and accurate so we can progress your application smoothly. If something doesn’t match or can’t be verified, we may not be able to move forward with your application, but we’ll always treat you with transparency, respect, and clear communication throughout.
TfL is currently unable to provide sponsorship to candidates for this role as the Home Office’s eligibility criteria for sponsorship will not be met. TfL keeps its approach under review in line with changes to UK immigration rules. We are also unable to provide advice or guidance on individual immigration queries and advise candidates to check the Government’s website for further information.
You may be required to undergo a Metropolitan Police NPPV1 (non-police personnel vetting) vetting process.